In August 2019, the OCR was eased to 1.00% but the RBNZ was already signalling a willingness for further easing in order to counter rising growth headwinds. Less than a year later, we have an OCR at 0.25%, a global economy facing a swift and unprecedented downturn, and an RBNZ endorsing negative interest rates as an effective stimulatory tool. With recent events highlighting the enduring challenges of the new ‘normal’ in a COVID-19 world, the prospect of further monetary policy measures being rolled out appears high.
Verifying purchase and sales forecasts and monitoring actuals diligently is more important than ever to safely navigate our new business ‘normal’ of on-going disruption due to COVID-19. The potential impacts on a business extend well beyond the in-house position: how have suppliers been hit by COVID changes to their own supply chains? What changes are being witnessed through customer behaviour – and how has their ability to pay been affected?
Businesses across all sectors are facing uncertainty as New Zealand remains vulnerable to disruption in international trade and global financial markets. Over the coming weeks, Bancorp will share analysis and market insights on the new ‘normal’ of doing business in the midst of a pandemic.
Robustness, resilience, antifragility: Three words, each with different implications for economic survival through and out the other side of a pandemic.
- Robustness: Ability to resist failure
- Resilience: Ability to recover from failure
- Antifragility: A property of systems that increase in capability to thrive as a result of stressors, shocks, volatility, noise, mistakes, faults, attacks or failures

“It had been 15 years since we last went out to market. No-one in the business had direct knowledge or history of running a transactional banking RFP, so we went back to Bancorp. Bancorp had a clear understanding of the banking industry, counter parties and a good knowledge of what the market was doing. The report helped us to identify our target savings and gave us confidence that going to market was a worthwhile exercise.”